It’s been a dry November this year in Nashville. Less than a quarter of an inch has fallen, that would make it the driest November ever recorded. Here a list that covers the last 138 years, it shows only about a half of inch of rain fell back in 1949:

We do have rain in the forecast a couple of times here in the last 10 days of November. Some should fall on Sunday morning and then again heading into Tuesday morning. The rain event Sunday looks modest:

If we stay under an inch of rain by next Monday we’ll log the driest November in 56 years. This after such a wet September and October!

Still no hard freeze in Nashville, now counting 244 days between a freeze at BNA.  The record is 258 back in 1935. The second longest was 246 days back in 1946 (also happened in 1928). It appears we  will have the SECOND longest growing season on record.

After the fog clears this morning the freezing temperatures across the southern counties will quickly warm to the low 60’s. Mostly sunny skies today and very little wind will make for a nice afternoon. Tonight lows drop down to the low 40’s.

Saturday will have more in cloud cover, temperatures will only warm into the upper 50’s but it’ll stay dry. Predictor shows the clouds tomorrow afternoon:

A storm system is moving across the Gulf coast, as it turns toward South Carolina by Sunday it’ll spill some rain chances into middle Tennessee, especially across our southern and southeast counties:

Predictor puts the rain at the Alabama/Tennessee state line by midnight Saturday. Through the overnight hours and into Sunday morning that rain spreads north and northeast. Here is Predictor for Sunday 6am:

Between the clouds and rain temperatures will only warm into the mid-to-upper-50’s. The next rain chance shows up Monday night and Tuesday morning. It is looking dry over the south for Wednesday (the big travel day) and Thanksgiving. Next Thursday will likely be a little chilly, highs are forecasted to be in the low 50’s.

Water levels have been dropped very low on Old Hickory Lake.  This is a good time for dock owners to make repairs, etc. 

The weather will cooperate for that kind of work Friday and Saturday.  Sunny skies all day Friday will help temps climb into the comfortable low and mid 60s.   Clouds roll in on Saturday but it will still be mild in the 60s.  Looks like a rain event slips through Saturday night into the first half of Sunday.

Thanks to Mark Fagan for the photos.

We’ll finally get some sunshine today, that will insure warmer temperatures than late. Yesterday, for the second day in a row, we barely reached 50 degrees by afternoon under cloudy skies. Today with a little sun we’ll get into the upper 50’s. Clear skies tonight mean temperatures close to freezing (and some fog) for Friday morning. Friday afternoon mostly sunny and low 60’s.

This weekend rain will move across the deep south. We get clouds from this system and slight rain chances by Saturday night/Sunday morning in our southern (from Waynesboro to Winchester) to counties to the southeast third (from Murfreesboro down I-24).

Here is the latest long range forecast for Thanksgiving. It shows a strong low over the Great Lakes with clouds and cooler weather (50’s) for middle Tennessee. We might get some rain from that low on the day before, the travel day Wednesday.  If skies clear any of these nights leading into the weekend we might get our first freeze in Nashville.

Yesterday was a reminder that we can get some cold weather in November, afternoon temperatures hovered in the low 50’s. Another similar day for our Wednesday, highs again only in the mid to low-50’s. Mostly cloudy start with a few breaks in the clouds like yesterday, a south wind today but it’ll do little in warming us up. There will be a passing shower on the plateau but dry elsewhere.

Tonight lows will again get down into the upper 30’s with highs tomorrow in the upper 50’s. Low 60’s on Friday with sunshine.

Most of the rain fell overnight but there will still be a passing shower or two today. Cloudy skies with a few glimpses of sunshine to the southwest this afternoon. Highs were reached in the early morning hours, upper 50’s. By later today they’ll be in the low 50’s.  

Clouds tonight keep most places in the upper 30’s to around 40 for a low.

Skies clear a little tomorrow but the cold air keeps pouring in. We’ll have highs only in the mid-50’s tomorrow. No much in rain chances for the rest of the week and upcoming weekend.

By Thursday and Friday highs back in the low 60’s but it’s not looking like we’ll be seeing again that 70 degree weather we had two weekends-in-a-row anytime soon