Nice End to June
We’ll enjoy highs in the low 80’s today with low humidity. Very nice weather to end June with with temperatures well below normal along with a brisk northwest wind. Partly cloudy skies but mostly dry weather today. We’ll have dry weather next couple of days.
June will total out to have warmer than normal temperatures and to be dry. In fact we’ll end the month with less rain than last year (2.21″ this June, 2.37″ in June 2007). The month flipped on us; typically you would warm up through the month. We cooled down- after the warmest start to June in 60 years we “cooled” down to slightly below normal.
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A few isolated evening showers
A few isolated showers are pushing across the northern half of Middle Tennessee and southern Kentucky as we approach 8:00 PM.
We expect that a few additional showers may develop on Monday as an upper disturbance swings overhead, but most of the day should be pretty nice with a northwest breeze and temperatures in the upper 70s to lower 80s.
Cold front still crossing Tennessee
The cold front is still crossing Middle Tennessee at 2:00 PM this afternoon. I’ve drawn the approximate location of the front on the visible satellite image below (picture taken at 1:25 PM).
South of the front, Crossville had a 2:00 PM dewpoint of 66 degrees. North of the front, on the less humid side, the dewpoint was just 57 degrees in Nashville and Clarksville.
A few small, isolated showers were moving along and ahead of the front. They will move across the Cumberland Plateau and leave the area by 4:00 PM.
Cold front crossing TN at 1:25 PM on Sunday.
Front moving through, clearing to come
A cold front is pushing across Tennessee this morning, and our rain chance will leave with the front. The northwest corner of Middle Tennessee is already starting to see some clearing behind the boundary (visible satellite image).
I can’t rule out an isolated thundershower for folks south and east of Nashville as we head from late morning through early afternoon. As a matter of fact, small showers are already beginning to develop in that area just after 10:00 AM.
Last night 0.42″ fell at the Nashville International Airport. Feel free to report your observed amounts in the comments section. It looks like CookevilleWeatherGuy was one of the winners; he observed 0.93″ last night, on top of the 0.54″ from yesterday afternoon.
T’storms Saturday night into Sunday morning
Scattered thunderstorms are developing at 11:00 PM this Saturday, so it looks like our forecast of scattered overnight thunderstorms will verify. (We always like it when that happens, ha!)
A slow-moving cold front will push in tonight and won’t clear the area until Sunday morning, so the chance of a thunderstorm continues through the first half of Sunday.
Sunshine will lift temperatures to the middle 80s by Sunday afternoon, and we anticipate a break in the heat and humidity from Monday through Tuesday behind this system.
A damage report from Saturday afternoon
Just one damage report from Saturday afternoon, courtesy of the Nashville National Weather Service.
3:15 PM, 3 miles south of Murfreesboro, power poles snapped, trees “topped out” and out building destroyed
Lull in the action this evening
It should be mainly dry the rest of the afternoon through this evening. I can’t rule out an isolated thundershower popping up given our warm, windy, humid environment, but that chance looks pretty slim.
A front will slowly cross the area tonight and Sunday morning, prompting a better chance of thunderstorms. Some of the storms might have hail or strong gusty winds, so I’ll keep a close eye on StormTracker.
The front (and rain chance) will clear Nashville by late Sunday morning, leaving a nice afternoon with highs in the middle 80s.
Storms east of I-65, for now
At 3:00 PM in the afternoon, scattered thunderstorms covered parts of Middle Tennessee that are east of I-65.
No warnings have been issued yet (through 3:00 PM) but some of the storms will contain hail and strong wind gusts, in addition to the usual threat of lightning. The storms are moving east-northeast at 25 mph.
It wouldn’t surprise me if one of the storms in the easter half of the mid-state prompted the National Weather Service to issue a severe thunderstorm warning over the next few hours.
There were some storms around Nashville earlier this afternoon, but right now things are quiet along I-65 and off to the west.
Afternoon Storms Popping Up
At 1:45 PM, scattered thunderstorms were popping up around Nashville, Wilson County, Rutherford County and Sumner County, as well as up on the Cumberland Plateau.
Here’s a look at the latest visible satellite image. Note the puffy, bright white towering cumulus clouds. Any of those growing clouds could develop into a thunderstorm.
A severe thunderstorm watch is in effect for some of our southern Kentucky counties until 9:00 PM. Hail up to 2″ in diameter and wind gusts of 80 mph are possible in that area. From the Storm Prediction Center:
THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN NUMBER AND INTENSITY ACROSS WATCH AREA. WITH 30KT OF STEERING FLOW AND MLCAPES TO 2500 J/KG…DAMAGING WINDS WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY LIKELY AS STORMS DEVELOP INTO SHORT LINE SEGMENTS/BOWS THRU THE AFTERNOON. POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT WINDS GUSTS IN STRONGER STORMS.
Saturday Forecast
I can’t find many reasons to disagree with the storm timing that Lisa laid out in Friday’s post.
It looks mainly dry this morning, but a southwest breeze will quickly lift temperatures into the upper 80s.
Thunderstorms are expected to pop up this afternoon, and the chance of rain will continue through this evening, tonight and Sunday morning. A few of the storms that develop could grow to severe limits, so we’ll monitor StormTracker this afternoon for the chance of hail and/or strong winds.
Scattered thunderstorms develop this afternoon.
The chance continues through tonight and Sunday morning.
