The News 2 City Cam says it all! 

After a cool morning, temps will be soaring into the mid 70s for afternoon highs today.  Toni, we will not be as chilly, with overnight lows in the low 50s in the city, with maybe some upper 40s in our eastern counties by daybreak.  A strong southerly breeze on Thursday (15-30 mph) should push highs to near 80 Thursday afternoon.

Our next chance for rain will be with a line of showers and thunderstorms anticipated between midnight Friday night through Saturday morning.  It’s possible that some of those storms could be strong or severe, but there are still a lot of question marks on that.  It’s sort of complicated, involving an occluded front and a closed low that may or may not go through some changes that could create strong storms.  If you’d like to read about the confusion, check out the Storm Prediction Center’s 3 Day Outlook.

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Forecasted highs today are back in the 70’s for the first time since last Saturday. After another cold start we finally can say goodbye to near-freezing temperatures until next Fall. A south wind stays around tonight, lows will be in the 50’s. Windy tomorrow, storms on Friday. More about that as we get closer, there is a possiblity of severe weather Friday night.

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Nothing has changed since my recent entry, but here is the official info from NWS:

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN

322 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

PICKETT-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-WARREN-GRUNDY-

VAN BUREN- 322 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

…FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A FREEZE

WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY.

UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS…TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT

WILL FALL TO FREEZING OR BELOW…ESPECIALLY AT LOW LYING AND

SHELTERED LOCATIONS.

A FREEZE WARNING MEANS FREEZING OR SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE

IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. THESE CONDITIONS WILL KILL CROPS AND

OTHER SENSITIVE VEGETATION.

STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-BENTON-HOUSTON-

HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-

JACKSON-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-

CANNON-DEKALB-BEDFORD-COFFEE-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-

322 PM CDT TUE APR 29 2008

…FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY…

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NASHVILLE HAS ISSUED A FROST

ADVISORY…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 7 AM CDT WEDNESDAY.

UNDER CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS…TEMPERATURES LATE TONIGHT

WILL FALL INTO THE LOWER TO MID 30S IN THE NORMALLY COLDER SPOTS.

AREAS OF FROST WILL BE FAIRLY WIDESPREAD.

A FROST ADVISORY MEANS THAT FROST IS EXPECTED. IT WOULD BE WISE TO COVER OR BRING IN SENSITIVE PLANTS.

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Hi everyone. This is Christian. I wanted to drop a very rare note to alert you that the NWX blog is moving to a WordPress VIP hosted solution. You won’t notice a difference in where you go or what the blog will look like, but it will change the way you comment.

Because we will be on WordPress, you will need to re-register your usernames if you are not already on WordPress. Once the new blog goes live, you will be prompted to login to post a comment like normal. If your old login does not work, you will need to create your new login at that time and will be prompted to do so.

Thanks for your patience!

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A dogwood tree (top picture) and a locust tree (bottom picture) both in full bloom in Wilson County.

Last cold snap we had redbuds and dogwoods blooming at the same time. Well, the dogwoods are still blooming and the locust trees have joined them. Take your pick!

Now frost chances:

This morning, winds calmed down enough to allow frost to form in many areas. I’m glad that yesterday I said to play it safe and cover the plants both nights. Tonight, winds should go calm by sunset and remain calm all night. With clear skies, scattered frost should be pretty extensive. Lows should range from around 35-39 in most areas, but a light freeze is possible in our eastern counties, especially along the Plateau. Remember, frost can form even when the air temperature is above freezing because the ground is a solid object, and like your car roof or windshield can radiate its heat away and drop to freezing.

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We start this morning with lows around freezing and below outside Nashville. Sunshine early on and at end of day should help recover the temperatures to around 60 for a high. This is more like early March than late April. We’ll have a northwest wind all day. Clear skies tonight and again some frost tomorrow morning with the higher risk along the Rim and Plateau areas of eastern middle Tennessee. A south wind tomorrow puts us into the low to mid 70’s - a typical high for the time of year. Below are the forecasted lows for a frosty night tonight:

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Rain:
These evening showers will not last long. Steady showers should exit Nashville by 6:30pm… we could get a few strays up until 7:30ish. Rains heaviest in the northern half of the mid-state.

Temps:
Temps cool quickly into the 40s with the rain, also gusty west/northwest winds will have you reaching for a jacket. Overnight we dip into the upper 30s… it could get a little colder in low areas sheltered from the wind, and that could mean some spotty areas of frost. A more wipespread frost possible Tuesday night into Wednesday morning.

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Before I get to the frost chances I want to mention the line of showers and thundershowers we expect late this afternoon and early evening ahead of our colder air. We may see a little bit of hail with these showers with the cold air aloft. The rush hour commute should become wet after a partly cloudy day.

Now for the frost chances: Overnight tonight temperatures will be dropping to mostly upper 30s by daybreak, with some mid 30s along the Kentucky border. The wind will be blowing around 10-15 mph, so frost will only form in low pockets that are protected from the wind.

Tomorrow night (Wednesday morning), the wind will be calm, so frost should be pretty widespread. There may even be a light freeze in our east and northeastern counties including the Cumberland Plateau, although elsewhere temps should remain above freezing.

Again, my advice for gardeners is to go ahead and cover the plants tonight as well as tomorrow night, to play it safe.

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We have another cold front comes in this late afternoon- this means rains chances followed by a shot of cold air. We’ll get in the low 60’s this afternoon with a little late morning/mid-day sunshine. Then the clouds and thunderstorms move in toward end of day and early evening. The skies should clear some overnight- lows will dip down into the mid 30’s outside of the urban areas. Expect to see some frost! A couple of cold mornings ahead in fact- another frost for Wednesday morning before we warm up again. Here is the rain/storms activity due in here late today:

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If you are following Stormtracker above, you know that we will continue to have showers Sunday evening, with a few thundershowers possible in our southern and southeastern counties. The rain should taper off after midnight yielding partly cloudy skies for most of Monday and slightly cooler temperatures (49 low, 64 high). There will be some additional showers pushing in late Monday afternoon and evening ahead of another shot of even colder air.

By Tuesday morning, temperatures should be in the upper 30s in the city with some mid 30s possible along the Kentucky border and on the Plateau. There could be some scattered frost Tuesday morning, but the wind should still be blowing. That would keep the frost to a minimum then, but protected areas where the wind dies down could see frost.

After a high only near 60 Tuesday afternoon, clear skies and calm winds will allow frost to be more widespread on Wednesday morning.

If you have vegetable plants out already, my advice will be to play it safe and cover them up both Monday and Tuesday nights (for frost Tuesday and Wednesday mornings). If it doesn’t occur Tuesday morning, you’ll be ready for Wednesday morning.

There could be a light freeze in our eastern and northeastern counties, and especially along the Plateau. Elsewhere, I don’t expect a freeze, but frost is more likely. Remember, frost can form on the ground even when the temperature is in the mid to upper 30s, as the solid ground can actually get colder than the air.

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