We have a front moving in by mid-day, turning the winds to the northwest and clouding up the skies. Ahead of the front we start the morning with temperatures in the 40’s, warming to the low 50’s before the front sweeps through. It’ll be in the mid-40’s by late afternoon along with 15-20mph winds. A few sprinkles are possible, perhaps even a few flurries on the plateau. Tonight the temperatures should drop to the mid-20’s - tomorrow a high only in the mid-40’s! Below are the forecasted highs for today: again they’ll be reached by mid-day.
This is from The Weather Channel concerning the snowfall that fell overnight last night across Indiana.
TWC Message
655 AM EST WED DEC 05 2007
THE LATEST SNOWFALL REPORTS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS, IN: NEAR CARMEL, 4.0″… NEAR PITTSBORO, 3.5″… 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF INDIANAPOLIS, 2.7″… 4 MILES SOUTH OF BROWNSBURG, 2.5″… NEAR NEW CASTLE, 2.3″. STAY TUNED TO THE WEATHER CHANNEL OR GO TO WEATHER. COM FOR FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT.
To the folks in Carmel, IN 4 inches is probably nothing but I sure wouldn’t mind that much snow down here out of a storm.
http://www.mtwc.blogspot.com
(Carmel is a northern suburb of Indianapolis)
wow, we’d take 4 inches here!
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
All these hopeful posts about snow make me dread January/February, when folks will come out of the woodwork to rant about any lack of winter weather and how the forecasters are letting them down personally.
We’re too far south for the regular clipper systems that provide Indiana/Ohio with a decent amount of snow most years, and we almost never get any winter precip this early in the season. Getting worked up about Indianapolis’ weather is like being mad because we don’t get the lake effect snow common from Cleveland to Buffalo– we’re in the wrong climate. If you don’t like it, move.
Take it easy.
Also, note that the 30 year average high/low for this date is 52/34, and of the thirteen high/lows on the extended forecast, ten are above that average (today’s forecasted high is dead on). With only two below average temps in the seven-day, we’re looking at an indication that this will be yet another above “average” winter.
I like winter, too, and I hope that we get temps that trend closer to the average, but don’t blow a gasket if we don’t.
Well, patterns and systems I think play a lot of the roll for us in snow like matt says. This week’s warm weather is being caused by a ridge off the coast of South Carolina. Ridges can be real stubborn. This one probably won’t move til the 14/15th. Can’t really know what’s gonna happen beyond that. Things are still likely change. However the ridge will probably hold for a while.
Absolutely, Cameron– there just have been several ridges in early winter the last couple years. Let’s hope this one has less of a stranglehold on our weather than last year. Not only did it bring very warm temps, but it also blocked precip of any sort, and marked the beginning of the 2007 drought.
I just pity the mets during the winter, when some folks are so desperate to see frozen precip that they start ranting and accusing forecasters of incompetence. Just look at the nashvillewx.com comments from that series of cold fronts last Jan/Feb, when the 540 line would retreat south only after the moist air moved to the northeast. It seems like nothing is harder for mid TN mets than getting the timing right. Based on the last couple years, for serenity’s sake the best thing to do for us laypeople is assume we’ll get nothing frozen.
Haig,
There is no such thing as “average” temperature.
If I take a hypothetical day, over ten years. Lets say its a day in december.
You have 5 days that are 65
You have five days that are 45
What’s the average? 55
But over ten years, on this particular day, there hasn’t ever been a high temperature in that range.
Temperatures fluctuate. Sometimes we have a southeast ridge and warm. Sometimes we have blocking in the atlantic and a positive PNA and it gets downright cold.
“wow, we’d take 4 inches here! :)”
That’s what she said.
“Temperatures fluctuate.”
Please don’t patronize. Looking at temperature trends over a period of time, and comparing them to the historical temperatures for that date, is certainly meaningful.
As I pointed out, the overall temperature trend has been above average for a significant period of time, and this late fall resembles last late fall, which was above average well into winter.
Checked out where the leading edge of the cold air is and it is still up in Southern and Southwestern KY…Paducah is reporting 39° at this time…39 in Louisville, 37 in Lexington….Bowling Green is a bit warmer at 48..and Somerset is 53…these temps will fall as the day goes on…still hoping for a little snow on the Plateau!
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
I have 58 F. in Thompson’s station. Got warmer that I thought it would. The fornt must have slowed down a bit.
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
PADUCAH CLOUDY 40 30 67 N17G35 29.87R WCI 31
HENDERSON CLOUDY 37 28 70 NW16G25 29.82R WCI 28
OWENSBORO CLOUDY 38 33 82 NW22 29.78R WCI 27
HOPKINSVILLE CLOUDY 46 36 68 NW12G20 29.77R
BOWLING GREEN CLOUDY 48 34 58 NW12G26 29.71R
GLASGOW CLOUDY 48 34 57 W14G26 29.67R
$$
KYZ024-025-028>034-038-045-046-053-051900-
NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
LOUISVILLE/SDF CLOUDY 35 29 78 N24G30 29.71R WCI 23
LOUISVILLE/LOU NOT AVBL
FORT KNOX LGT SNOW 38 36 89 N20G33 29.69R FOG WCI 29
$$
Sorry GUYS and GALS…should’ve cleaned up that post before submitting it…basically, the winds and temps have turned quickly in Southern KY and it is heading our way…noticed winds have changed in Nashville, Clarksville, Jackson, etc.
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
Yeah
http://promotemysitebyspamming.com
Is is me, or is it cooling off a lot quicker than expected?
Brrr
Hey guys,
It has really turned cooler here in South Central Ky… we have had a pretty good drizzle for a while now, it almost looks like it has a few flurries mixed in, but I am not quite sure.
I dont see what the big deal is with someone posting their website address. This site features a place to enter your address, and it becomes a clickable link. Obviously it doesnt bother the owners of this site. It is your choice to click on someones web address or to ignore it. If you dont like it, ignore it and *POOF* your problem is solved.
I’m down to 45.5 now. Matthew, for me it took a while to here to Thompson’s station but I agree it does seem like it is cooling off pretty fast now that its here.
*correction* (Matthew, for me it seems like it took a while for the front to arive here at Thompson’s station but I agree it does seem like it is cooling off pretty fast now that its here.)
I knew what you meant.
It’s 42.3 here in west Nashville…has dropped 13 degrees in about two hours.
It’s 36 over here in old hickory. 25 is the low for tonight flurries are gonna be possible pretty much anywhere from right along I-65 eastward. I’ll give another update in a min.
We’ve seen a 16.5° drop in temperatures between 11 am (when we hit 52.6) and now at just a little after 4:30 pm (we’re at 36.1). Winds have been from the NNW and have gusted at times to almost 30 mph.
Some precipitation has been and is currently falling and we could some showers of snow early followed by flurries later this evening.
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
Snow falling in Cookeville at 5:30 pm
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
Haha Michael S. that was a good one but you probably shouldn’t make jokes like that at Nashvillewx. It could be offensive to someone that is really sensitive.
it would have been better if the snow “value” was a bit greater Michael S. Anyways, averages are quite meaningful, just because there are extremes does not mean that every value will be far from the “average value.”
8:42pm update from NWS….UPDATE…AT 02Z THE COLD FRONT WAS LOCATED WELL SOUTHEAST OF THE
MID STATE. COLD ADVECTION HAD CHANGED LIGHT POST FRONTAL PRECIPITATION
TO FROZEN FORM ON THE PLATEAU…MAINLY JUST FLURRIES. SOME OF THE
HIGHEST ELEVATIONS HAVE BEEN LIGHTLY DUSTED WITH SNOW AND A FEW SLICK
SPOTS HAVE DEVELOPED ON HIGH PLATEAU ROADS…BUT NO SIGNIFICANT
ACCUMULATIONS OR WIDESPREAD PROBLEMS HAVE BEEN REPORTED.
We’ve ‘just’ had flurries here in Cookeville, however, you could see it on the hood of our car….kinda’ fun!!!
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
How are the roads mike?
man it would be awesome to be at TTU right now to see the snow
WeatherDudeB…oh, they’re just fine..no worries…
Matt5797…it’s VERY, VERY light…I wish I could get a picture of it, but there isn’t enough to show you!
thanks mike