The bigger rains and cooler weather will be just to the north today. Most of middle Tennessee will at least see a passing shower or two. I expect the daytime heating to the south to produce a few thunderstorms as highs will reach in the 70’s today in the southern third of our area. Meanwhile north of Nashville highs will likely stay only in the 50’s all day. The rain chances start to diminish tonight. With a little sunshine tomorrow and gusty winds will break another record high (we broke one yesterday in Nashville) with temperatures reaching in the mid-70’s! By Friday we’ll have highs only in the 40’s.
I’d like to point out the 15 degree difference in temperatures between Manchester and Clarksville. Here is an interesting fact: While Tulsa, and Oklahoma City seem to get more snow and ice than we do, they actually average the same amount of snow as we do…exactly.
http://www.mtwc.blogspot.com
Like I said if I hear RECORD BREAKING HIGH AGAIN.. Lol.. You gotta be kidding me 74? This is insane.
I wonder what the record is for number of days which broke all-time highs during one calendar year. Surely we must have broken that record too this year.
Ryan…I think it is just an abberration..meaning we aren’t going to have record warmth through the winter.
http://cookevilleweatherguy.blogspot.com
Well we went all of November and the 2nd half of October with near normal temps. We’re due to briefly warm up. Remember 60 today + 40 degrees next week = 50 degrees. 50 Degrees = average
http://www.mtwc.blogspot.com
“Tulsa, and Oklahoma City”
Who don’t get air masses up from the Gulf during the winter. My mother grew up on the Mississippi Gulf, and she said this weekend reminded her of winters on the coast.
I love the weather here (except for the dog days), and I even love the occasional warm winter spell… as long as we get variation. Let’s hope we don’t get a repeat of the first half of last winter! Daily climate norms for today are 51/33, and the dates on the other side of the climate norm curve for those temp are around Valentine’s Day– so there are at least two months that we can expect a higher likelihood of cool-to-cold weather.
And of course, last year, we had a nice cold snap that went most of the way through February, even if it didn’t bring us much frozen precip.
man, i’m close to just giving up on figuring out WHAT will happen this weekend…the GFS keep playin its usual mind games on we aspiring/wannabe mets…
alabamawx.com did mention this though: Lots of model disagreement Friday and beyond making for a low confidence forecast. But, there is pretty much no doubt we trend toward colder weather by Friday and the weekend. Perhaps much colder; the GFS won’t be able to resolve the shallow cold air coming over the big ice pack north of here. Don’t be surprised if the GFS MOS numbers are as much as ten degrees too warm.
boy i hope its 20 degrees to warm, lol! ;D
As for the high of 74 tomorrow…the scary part about it is that it could be even WARMER. I would not be suprised if mid 70’s is even a little conservative. Especially if we have a decent amount of sunshine.
It is interesting that with all the heat right now that the models are “hinting” at the possibility of some frozen precip this weekend. The 0z Euro and 12z GFS ensemble mean are intriguing. Just something to keep an eye on right now but maybe we’ll get lucky.
The Euro nailed the lakes cutter that we had a week or so ago, while the gfs intially was giving us snow.
The Euro is on board for what could be a couple inches on the backside sunday-monday.
Just be patient.