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Clouds but Little Rain

highs 10 03

Today will be another warm one; we expect temperatures to get into the mid-80’s just like yesterday. Clouds will gather as we get deeper into the day but we are not expecting rain or storms. By the time we get to tomorrow however the afternoon storm chances increase and even improve by Friday.

Predictor 10 4

The warm weather continues; highs into the weekend will continue to be a good 10 degrees above normal - in the mid-80’s.

October? Really?

We’ll enjoy temperatures in the upper 80’s today, almost 15 degrees above normal for early October. Lots of sunshine and a little bit of a south wind. Clouds move across tomorrow, highs will be a little cooler but still in the 80’s. Below are the forecasted highs for today:

highs 10 2

The Easter freeze did so much damage not because it was so late in Spring (only 2 days past the typical last freeze) but because it was so cold (low 20’s) after a warm month (March 07′ was actually WARMER than April 07′). If we enjoy the typical growing season for Nashville (204 days) the last freeze should be on the 30th. Today in 1984 Nashville experienced the earliest first freeze on record. So far we’ve had 176 growing days at the Nashville airport.

freeze dates 10 02

Trying to Squeeze in a “Cool” Day

Low temperatures this morning (after sunrise, at 7:00 am) were in generally in the 50s, but down in the 40s in the cooler spots. You know the type: McMinnville, Cookeville, Crossville, Tullahoma, Fayetteville. Clouds already covered the northwest corner of Middle Tennessee early this morning, which kept Clarksville and Paris in the 60s.

That broken band of clouds kept Nashville cool this morning, with temperatures limited to the low 70s. There will be occasional peeks of sunshine through the day, but areas that remain “mostly cloudy” should stay in the 70s. Not bad at all; especially when you consider that highs later this week will be well into the 80s, more than 10 degrees above average.

Latest visible satellite loop.

Tennessee hourly weather round-up.

It’s hard to think that at this time yesterday, our current band of clouds was a long line of thunderstorms, bringing dangerous lightning and torrential downpours to the Midwest. You can follow this link to the Penn State e-Wall to scroll through surface observations and radar snapshots over the past 24 hours.

What caused the storms to weaken? Watch the surface low move northeast from Omaha to Milwaukee (i.e., away from Tennessee). The surface low moved northeast because the upper level dynamics were headed that way. Without any good upper level support, yesterday’s potent storms fizzled to cloud cover by the time it reached our area. Additionally, the upper ridge in place across the South has kept our atmosphere very dry since Friday; not a good environment to sustain an approaching line of thunderstorms.

Some Clouds but Still Warm

Just as we ended September we start October with some warm weather. Highs today will get into the low 80’s. The storms west of Memphis will bring some clouds in but a south wind should counter the cooling effect clouds usually bring. The rain might reach the Tennessee river according to Predictor.

Predictor 10/1

It appears a dry work week in store for us with temperatures almost 10 degrees above normal. Dry and warm… looks like the new month starts with the same old weather.

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