We have a cold front coming through this morning bringing with it some clouds and perhaps a flurry or two. Most of the snow will be seen up to the northwest of Nashville from Hartsville and Portland over to Jamestown and Burkesville, Ky. The clouds will clear away later today on a strong NW wind; don’t expect much of warm up today; we’ll only see highs a few degrees warmer than the morning lows. Below are the forecast highs for today.
As skies clear tonight we’ll see the temperatures drop down into the teens. Tomorrow we’ll have some sunshine to start the day but clouds coming in and the threat of some snow arrives late Wednesday night. Across the southern counties it will likely start as a snow/sleet mix. During the day on Thursday we’ll watch the temperatures get above freezing and the snow/sleet mix change over to rain. As the system starts to taper off with the precipitation it’ll change back over to snow Thursday night.
This is how it looks right now. This forecast is subject to change as we closer to the event. As usual, the rain/snow line on Wed. night to Friday morning straddles the middle Tennessee area.
Ok my opinion about this now looking at new info. If we get an inch or 2 on the ground by thursday morning….which REALLY LOOKS PROBABLE I do not believe temps will rise to change to rain.
Sleet may mix in but i do not see just plain old rain mixing in
Word ^, Gabe. Word ^
=)
This is getting fun…Let’s all make bets on what we think we will get
50 bucks its all snow
That is mighty bold anon
Still got my $20 bucks on nothing.
If it stays all snow then uh, lol, we could have like half a foot >_>
I bet 100 bucks its bone chilling cold.
We all need to understand this. If we have a 1-2″ of snow on the ground that is not going to make a big deal with keeping surface temps at freezing. Now alot more would as it would modify the airmass. At 00Z Friday the NAM does show us above freezing at the surface. Leave out evaporational cooling since the atmostphere is saturated. Warm Air Advection is going to effect the upper levels more than it is the surface levels here. This will warm the 850Mb temps above freezing. When then get into a situaton with Freezing Rain and Sleet if the surface temps due in fact remain cold. We have a very strong 850Mb jet right to the north and WAA to the south. We are just going to have to let things play out until the precip starts falling. This is a very fun and interesting system. Lets all try and learn something other than non helpfull comments.
Nah, not half a foot — maybe 3 to 4 good inches in some areas, but lets keep it real, yo. =p
I’m still going with all snow.
3-4″ generally over the mid-state.
Just wantch the News @ 4. Lisa what Model are yo going with on QPF? NAM or the GFS?
Was it just me or did that model Lisa show at 4 show heavy snow starting out in the southeastern counties?
Also, if we get snow on the ground then snow/sleet/rain throughout the day Thursday and end with snow again then won’t that low of around 30 make roads icy once again for Friday morning?
I am still not so sure that the snow on the ground wont help the temps stay around 32-34 instead of 36-37. ROB don’t get to mad at me…but i can have my own opinion. I don’t see it completely changing to rain.
I actually was aiming for Cookeville about half a foot — I think that’s plenty “keeping it real” lol
also lets remember its not gonna be one solid sheet of moisture….it will be a bit scattered. SO if somebody gets an inch or 2 of snow you might not get any rain to wash it away….just a thought.
Gabe its all good buddy I was just letting everyone know this. Snow cover can have a effect on temps but I dont think that 2″ of snow and sleet will have a great effect. Gabe I agree that it most likely will not change over to all rain as well. I am not a prof met but I do see alot of people try and talk about whats going to happen with no understanding. Then it seems everyone gets confused and no one knows what to think. I may not be correct all the time but I have a pretty good understanding on weather as it has been a hobby for along time. You should take the pro Mets opinions the greatest.I like this place because I get to ask the weather staff direct questions. Maybe I can help people here understand why the forcast chances so fast and why they do the things they do.The point of this place is to have everyone talk and learn about the weather. Its also a place where you can ask the local mets questions when they respond to your post.Sometimes its not easy getting a answer.
My Current thoughts I will post tonight. I am eager to see if wkrn see’s things my way. Right now the Nws has a pretty good grip on things. We still need some things to work out for us but overall we are looking at a good setup.