If you read this post on Sunday you’ll be happy to hear the good news - James Spann won’t be gulping any bottles of mayonnaise this week.
Wonder where those hate mail guys are today… the ones who fired a rash of nasty e-mail messages back on Friday and Saturday when everyone from “The Weather Channel” to Country Boy Eddie and Sponge Bob were forecasting highs in the 50s and 60s today for Alabama.
This cold air is very shallow, and MOS (model output statistics) we all use on a daily basis becomes worthless. Never had a chance to reach the 40s this afternoon. No mayonnaise drinking going on here today, thankfully.
Can’t get too uppity here since we are in the midst of a very complex pattern for specific forecasts to be correct. The pattern is easy: cold and unsettled. Nailing down the day to day changes are very hard.
I like mayo but don’t think I would drink it.yuk!
Justin, I see that a mix has ben forecasted for the end of the week. However you have temps in the mid 40’s. Will it be one of those situations where the storm itself contains colder air within or what? 40’s usualy do not support snow and ice. Explain.
VERY interesting to watch that Xtreme Video there. It really helps to listen to someone show the models and explain them too (especially for us newbies at trying to read into them a little).
Thanks for posting that! The next few days will be busy ones, I’m sure!
Maybe we’re just not going to get any snow this year. I realize every year we get something. Even 2004, when we never got a significant snow, we did have a couple of snow showers that sort of coated the ground. This year we haven’t even gotten that!
I just read this post from a weather chat board. I read it over a time or two and started to wonder myself…I was wondering if Lisa, Justin, Jeff, Davis, or anyone out there owuld comment on it…Even Jerry, since it appears to be directed at the NWS…It’s not bad, just a thought…anyways, I copied and pasted the post below:
Question for anyone out there that can give me explanation…
In reference to the weather maker for the weekend…
BNA is forecasting overnight lows on Saturday 33 degree range. They are forecasting a little sleet & snow, but primarily rain. What confuses me is when I look at the forecasts for Tupelo, MS…Huntsville, AL…I see a rain or rain/sleet mix…but what gets me more than that are the temperatures. Tupelo has a forecasted low of 34, Huntsville has a forecasted low of 33. How can you go South 100 miles and have the same low temperature? Either Tupelo & Huntsville are over-embelishing (<– spellilng?)…or BNA is being extra cautious. I noticed overnight lows for PAris, TN & Dyresburs, TN are 30 & 31….Those cities are more in line with Nashville.
I am not saying someone is right or wrong…I’d just like some clarification. Is BNA being a little cautious with temperature profiles for Sat. nite (I am not saying we might get a big winter storm, because I see those chances all but gone); however, could they be being a little over cautious at this point in the game given past turnout of winter weatehr events?
The last post only posted part of the copy & paste…he’re the post in it’s entirety:
Question for anyone out there that can give me explanation…
In reference to the weather maker for the weekend…
BNA is forecasting overnight lows on Saturday 33 degree range. They are forecasting a little sleet & snow, but primarily rain. What confuses me is when I look at the forecasts for Tupelo, MS…Huntsville, AL…I see a rain or rain/sleet mix…but what gets me more than that are the temperatures. Tupelo has a forecasted low of 34, Huntsville has a forecasted low of 33. How can you go South 100 miles and have the same low temperature? Either Tupelo & Huntsville are over-embelishing (<– spellilng?)…or BNA is being extra cautious. I noticed overnight lows for PAris, TN & Dyresburs, TN are 30 & 31….Those cities are more in line with Nashville.
I am not saying someone is right or wrong…I’d just like some clarification. Is BNA being a little cautious with temperature profiles for Sat. nite (I am not saying we might get a big winter storm, because I see those chances all but gone); however, could they be being a little over cautious at this point in the game given past turnout of winter weatehr events?
Here’s the rest:
or BNA is being extra cautious. I noticed overnight lows for PAris, TN & Dyresburs, TN are 30 & 31….Those cities are more in line with Nashville.
I am not saying someone is right or wrong…I’d just like some clarification. Is BNA being a little cautious with temperature profiles for Sat. nite (I am not saying we might get a big winter storm, because I see those chances all but gone); however, could they be being a little over cautious at this point in the game given past turnout of winter weatehr events?
ok what happened to the other blogs???
my guess is they got deleted due to all the profanity.
Oh, so its not just my comp.
Oh, I doubt it, probably just a computer problem.
Lisa my have tried to delete her post from last night because of how fast things changed. JK
maybe, i dunno know. have you looked at the 0utc runs yet? look basically the same as far as middle TN is concerned but maybe a little slower on the track.
yea and that anonymous jerk was being really rude to Lisa, wish he would try to make a forecast for himself and see how it feels. but i do think the models are royally screwing up the long range temp forecasts. i think they always want to several degrees colder than what is actually to come. we should definately take them with a grain of salt.
Yeah, well I am still waitin’ on the 125% of our average snowfall to come that was predicted by accuwx.com
accuwx really isn’t focused on quality but quantity. their forecasts are usually computer generated and from what i’ve seen from their climate predictions they really aren’t too well researched.
Sometimes I wonder if I should just lie low under the “weather” radar for awhile. Maybe my grades would come up alittle. Everytime we get excited about Sn** and about 2 days before the system gets here the models will flip-flop Above was me.
snow censored
how old are you clay? in college or high school?
I mean if we regulars took off a week or so from weather we could worry about more important stuff rather than models.
D. Lipscomb High School
fresh, sopho, junior or senior
Freshie
School @ 7:15, I’m out.
wow the way you talked i thought you would be older. im a senior in high school in sumner co.
Glad to see it’s back to the regulars again.
Yeah was hoping to get off of school monday, but I guess it’s not going to happen. Oh well, I’m sure I’ll get one day off the winter.
think one of those clippers up stream could be the one that does in cameron. glad to see u have hope yet
To Matt5797:
I grew up in Portland, graduated in 1995, where do yo go to school at Matt?