Light to moderate rain continues to dampen most of Middle Tennessee this afternoon.
Dry weather has already pushed into the northwest corner of the mid-state (Clarksville, Paris, Dover, Erin, etc.) but so has the cold air - temperatures there are falling through the lower 40s. At 2pm it was already down in the upper 30s in Paris. For the rest of Middle Tennessee, it’s a wet afternoon. This morning’s cold front is now past Knoxville and Birmingham, but there’s plenty of moisture on the backside of the front. Light to moderate rain should push out of Nashville during the early evening, but a few more patches of rain are possible until 9pm or so. For areas east and south of Nashville (Cookeville, Woodbury, Shelbyville, Lawrenceburg, Pulaski, Lewisburg, Manchester, Sparta, McMinnville, etc.) count on the steady rain through the evening. The precipitation should clear the southeast corner of Middle Tennessee after midnight.
Northwest winds will pick up after the rain, allowing cold air to quickly move into the area. Not quick enough to change the rain to snowflakes or other wintry weather in Nashville, in my opinion. I suppose that a little sleet or some wet snowflakes are possible on the back edge of the moisture up on the Cumberland Plateau late tonight, but the ground will have a tough time forgetting it was in the middle 60s this weekend (lower 70s in Nashville). Even though we’re dealing with the same system that hit the Central and Southern Plains, we don’t expect any freezing rain or accumulating snow. I even think that the winds behind the moisture will help dry the roads later this evening and tonight, before temperatures fall down around freezing. We’ll be checking SnowTracker tomorrow morning for any delays or closings up on the Plateau, just in case…
Aghh. When we have moisture, we have no cold air. When we have cold air, we have no low pressure.
well i just gave up hope of getting out of school for ice on the roads….maybe next time:(
There will be no “next time”.
this rly stinx im thinkin about moving up north to live juat so i can see snow!!!
I’m going to Detroit, MI later this month. Maybe while I’m there I’ll mail you guys some snow. LoL
will Tennessee ever see any snow again?
of course we will. just not this particular decade
I’m sure just about every meteorologist in this area will tell you that Tennessee snows come in cycles. We are in the slow part of it.
There is a second wave of moisture developing west of here. This is Nashville’s
one and final shot at something frozen. The cold air needs to speed up so, we can get a change-over.
currently 44.8 at my house in columbia
Temp here in the Centerville area is 38.8. Ive gotta be heading your way early in the morning Shaq.. Gotta go back to CSCC..
Bummer..
Light snow burst and 35 degrees… When I say burst, i am kinda exaggerating but it snowed for about 5 mins.. really neat to see!
drizzle in the lakewood community. roads very wet here as well as interstate 40 and many roads throughout davidson county black ice is beginning to really be a 100% possibility. about 43.5 degrees here.
ok i believe i’m seeing some light snow falling in lakewood i’ll keep in touch.
Yeah these roads are still pleanty wet for black ice in the a.m. Light snow and flurries are still going on from time to time.
get over it people.no black ice or snow,what ever
same here some drizzle and flurries. i think metro has a good bet to close tomorrow i mean these roads are downright wet wind or not as wet as some roads are it looks like they really wont stand a chance of drying everybody keep me informed on weather conditions at your place.
well in downtown nashville the reading is now 43 degrees i just read a forecast from newschannel 5’s ron howes which stated that some patchy ice will be in areas with wet roads in the morning which could lead to dangerous conditions for buses and all vehicle transport and still drizzle and flurries a temp update where i live is 43.5 degrees and a few other locations i have are clarksville with 38.3 degrees and dover with 37.1 degrees it’s coming!
Does anyone have an input on schools being closed in southern middle tenness? Thanks!
hey lisa have u talked to or heard anything from metro about possible schools closing here in metro nashville? due to black ice write back asap.
well anonymous i just asked that question to lisa about here in my area lisa could you also tell us if you’ve heard anything from southern middle tennessee?
well the national weather service still thinks a chance of flurries will be possible even in middle tennessee here’s an update….
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION…CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
723 PM CST MON JAN 15 2007
.DISCUSSION…
FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHING THE CUMBERLAND PLATEAU AT THIS TIME.
PRECIPITATION…IN THE FORM OF BROKEN LIGHT RAIN SHOWER
ACTIVITY…IS CONFINED TO THAT PART OF MIDDLE TN TO THE SOUTHEAST OF
A COOKEVILLE TO PULASKI LINE.
LOW CLOUDINESS STILL EXTENDS BACK TO THE WEST ACROSS MO AND AR. SFC
OBS REPORTING SOME LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MO. TEMPS ARE NOW DOWN INTO THE
UPPER 30S ACROSS FAR NW ZONES…WHILE THE PLATEAU IS STILL IN THE
50S.
FOR THE UPDATE…WILL REMOVE MEASURABLE POPS FOR ALL AREAS WEST OF
THE PLATEAU. ACROSS THE PLATEAU…WILL CONTINUE WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS BEFORE MIDNIGHT.
AS FOR SNOW FLURRY POTENTIAL…WILL CONTINUE THE RISK OF FLURRIES
ACROSS NORTH CENTRAL MIDDLE TN. FOR THE PLATEAU…WILL INCLUDE A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
hey ryan do you have a weather update for me?
I highly doubt schools will be closed. Highly doubt.
ok now in downtown nashville the temp is 41 degrees. and in my lakewood area its 40.1 degrees. so its about to fall already into the upper 30’s and if you look on the radar icon on the main page you can see some flurries and snow showers in missouri and illinois that looks like it may be headed this way so we’ll watch this carefully.
Wind is howling and it is sorta drying up the water on the road and on deck etc. Still flurries from time to time. But I think kiddos need to get homework done and go to bed.
road update: roads still very wet here in my area with reports of some bridges on i-65 in nashville still very wet.
There may be patchy ice in the morning but not enough to cancel schools or prolly even delay them. Exception would be the Plateau as it seems we go to sleep with cloudy skies and wake up to an inch of snow and schools closed on the plateau, other than that everyone else can expect to go to school tomorrow.
can any meteorologist in the news 2 weather team tell me about metro schools i mean usually every time we get black ice schools close here please tell me if you’ve heard anything.
Just wondering what is developing down over Arkansas and Louisana and Mississippi??
I…am baffled.
Something fishy is going on.
are you talking about the moisture coming from the NW of us kaitlyn?
I know it’s higher-level moisture…but the models aren’t even picking up on it.
My gut tells me something’s awry with this…
Ive been watching it for a lil while now, Its expanding toward this way.. How long have you been watching it Kailyn?? Its just so weird that it just came up *pop* like that! The snow in MO is expanding slightly too.. I smell something FiShY!! I hope its a good fishy though.
yea i was wondering what was going on too. it reminds me of an alberta clipper. i suppose that is the flurries or sn- they were talking about
I just checked the forecast soundings…it could actually be sleet and snow…stay tuned.
LOL Yeahh dont spell it out! The s word.. But humm im still curious, its 33 degrees here in the Hickman area, and that thing looks like its coming our way… SN–?? Nahh.. Im gonna stay up longer than originally planned. I have college starting tommorrow but I may keep my eye on this a lil while.
It’s still 45 in Columbia.
Strange.
I call it:
either
VIRGA
or
IP-/FZDZ-/SHSN-
btw ryan s- is the way nws indicates light snow. i just threw in an n
sorry to be misleading
at these temps id say radar echoes are more reliable than warm days.
VIRGA.. Hummm, with that deep of moisture? Whats the ground reading saying in those areas have you seen?
I’d have to agree; however, the atmosphere is really screwed up right now…there is a teensy-weensy bit of overrunning as per WRF forecast soundings…it smells fishy…like Farmer’s Market used to smell…
I’m looking at the southern Mississippi valley sector radar - is that what you guys are looking at? If it gets here that means possible sleet or snow if temps fall fast enough.
http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/southmissvly_loop.pvhp
Bad link
we are looking at the moisture to our northeast but the moisture u are talking about could be of concern to southern middle TN
NW sorry
Thats what we have been watching yeah.. This is the new Tupelo and surrounding area short term forcast.. ITS NOT VIRGA..
Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
956 PM CST MON JAN 15 2007
MSZ006-009>017-020>024-160600-
CALHOUN-CHICKASAW-COAHOMA-ITAWAMBA-LAFAYETTE-LEE(MS)-MONROE-PANOLA-
PONTOTOC-PRENTISS-QUITMAN-TALLAHATCHIE-TISHOMINGO-UNION-YALOBUSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…CLARKSDALE…OXFORD…TUPELO
956 PM CST MON JAN 15 2007
.NOW…
ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES WILL AFFECT THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF NORTH MISSISSIPPI THIS EVENING. THROUGH MIDNIGHT CST…
PRECIPITATION WILL BE CONFINED TO LOCATIONS SOUTH OF A BOBO…
BOONEVILLE MISSISSIPPI LINE. RAINFALL RATES WILL GENERALLY BE LESS
THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH AN HOUR. IN ADDITION…TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN THE THIRTIES…WITH A NORTH TO NORTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MILES AN
HOUR.
Those “showers” would be snow over my area if they came on through right now. I hope everyone will stay here and discuss this with me. I really enjoy it.
I have access to an accuweather pay site called radar plus that has a 4 hour predictive radar forecast. It is showing a significant precip event in the southern half of middle tn at about 1am
really, that is really interesting. does this radar indicate precip type?