A stationary front has settled across Middle Tennessee. Along that surface boundary, a handful of morning thundershowers currently dots Storm Tracker (action is mainly south and east of Nashville). Patchy morning fog has devleoped but shouldn’t cause problems. Wake-up temperatures are in the upper 60s and lower 70s with projected highs in the middle 80s. Expect a mix of clouds and sunshine with the chance of a passing thundershower. That chance increases a bit from midday through the afternoon; areas south and east of Nashville stand the better opportunity to see some rain. I can’t completely rule out a thundershower for those who live north and west of Nashville, but it’s a smaller chance. Long story short: today will not be a washout!

At 10:16 am a cluster of thunderstorms was headed toward the southwest corner of Middle Tennessee. Counties due for some lightning and rain over the next couple of hours include: Decatur, Perry, Hardin, Wayne and Lewis. Gusty wind and small hail can’t be ruled out under the heavier storms but the rest of Middle Tennessee and southern Kentucky will wait until the afternoon for more storms to pop-up. The severe weather threats the rest of the day will be hail and wind. For those who want to know: the Storm Prediction Center does place northeast Tennessee under a very slight tornado risk (only at 2%) but in the mid-state I don’t think there’s enough twist in the atmosphere to warrant worrying about tornadic storms.

Storms and Rain likely for your Friday, some of these storms could be severe with large hail and damaging winds the biggest threat. Free water for the yard but the severe threat will have to be closely monitored especially when we get into the afternoon hours. Not as hot as it’s been lately thanks to a weak cold front that moves through this afternoon; we’ll top out at around 90. The southern counties could get into the mid 90’s again before the winds turn to the NW but the high storm/rain chances include all of our area.

The storms should decrease in intensity and coverage as we get late into the evening. The big question is about tomorrow. When a front moves through it cools down the upper atmosphere but also diminishes the instability in the lower levels. The forecast is that the rain/storms tomorrow will be east of Nashville on the rim and plateau and down across the TN/AL state line. We’ll be cooler for sure with highs in the mid-80’s tomorrow and Sunday.