Morning temperatures are quite comfortable in the upper 50s and early 60s as the sun rises (5:32 am today). Afternoon numbers will climb into the middle 80s with plenty of sunshine. Humidity stays bearable by late June standards with dewpoints in the lower 60s and a light breeze from the northwest. There’s a very small t’shower chance this afternoon, but any activity will likely be limited to the northern Cumberland Plateau. Warmer weather and small afternoon t’shower chances are expected Thursday and Friday. Heat ahead: the mercury climbs into the lower and middle 90s this weekend!

The high today (and tomorrow) is just around the climatological norm, around 86 degrees (”average” is 87). The dewpoints are expected to hover in the low 60’s, rather comfortable for late June (when the dew point gets to around 70 the air becomes noticable “sticky” with humidity). Partly cloudy skies this afternoon with a light breeze from the west… all in all, very nice summer weather. Best part is that its sticking around till we end the work week.

This afternoon we’ll see some storms pop-up across our area, most of the activity will again be up on the plateau where we had some minor flooding Sunday. West and northwest of Nashville some of isolated storms could reach severe limits. Drier weather in store for us tomorrow lasting through Thursday. With a north wind today we’ll enjoy temperatures in the mid-80’s instead of the mid-90’s like last week. This more moderate weather looks to last through the balance of the work week.

Monday afternoon will feature warmth and some humidity. Highs will hit the middle 80s for the next several days. There’s a small thundershower chance from tonight through Monday afternoon (mainly Monday afternoon). A lingering stationary front is to our east…while an upper air disturbance (without much moisture) approaches from the northwest. Patchy fog is possible toward daybreak on Monday. For most of us, the dry weather from the weekend continues through much of the work week. No oppressive heat predicted in the near future, but we may get back toward 90 degrees by the end of next weekend.

At 3:39 pm thunderstorms dotted parts of eastern Middle Tennessee. Counties dealing with the slow-moving storms (and 1″ to 3″ rain totals) include: Monroe and Cumberland (in Kentucky), Clay (very soon), DeKalb, far southeastern Wilson, Cannon (very soon), Bedford (on Shelbyville right now) and Moore (soon). Expect lightning, heavy downpours and the threat of small hail under the heaviest storms.

The thunderstorms will be mainly limited to areas east of Nashville and the I-65 corridor today. A disturbance passing overhead from the northwest has prompted scattered t’showers in West Tennessee and western Kentucky. They are weakening as they approach us, but some of our western counties near the Tennessee River could see a stray t’shower later this afternoon. The very small t’shower chance in Nashville the rest of the afternoon/evening is due to that disturbance. Use the “NWS Radar Loop” at the top of the blog to see if storms are near you.

Today’s forecast plays out a lot like yesterday’s: dry for many areas but there is a chance of thunderstorms (mainly east of I-65). Early morning temperatures are in the upper 60s and lower 70s. Fog is thick in some spots along the Cumberland Plateau; patchy fog is also a possibility in other areas this morning. Afternoon temperatures will hit the middle 80s. Despite a north breeze at 5 to 10 mph the humidity will linger. I can’t rule out an isolated thunderstorm for Nashville later today, but that chance should mainly remain east of Music City and the I-65 corridor where a stationary front is stretched across eastern sections of Tennessee. Slow-moving storms may bring heavy rain to some spots in that direction. A disturbance swinging in from the northwest later today may prompt a few spotty showers before the weekend wraps up. All in all: not a great threat of rain today for Nashville, but Storm Tracker should show a few thunderstorms as we get into the afternoon.